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Texas Population Projections Program

The Texas Population Projections Program produces projections of the population of the state and all counties in the state by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. These projections are used extensively by public and private entities. The projections involve the use of certain assumptions about future events that may or may not occur. Users of these projections should be aware that although the projections have been prepared with the use of detailed methodologies and existing demographic patterns, they may not accurately project the future population of the State or particular counties in the State. The projections should be used only with full awareness of the inherent limitations of population projections and with detailed knowledge of the procedures and assumptions delineated in the methodology statement.

Vintage 2022 Population Projections (Latest Projections)

The Texas Demographic Center Vintage 2022 projections consist of the projections of the resident population of the State by age and sex, and of the total resident population of all counties in the State for each year from 2020 through 2060, with the 2020 population equal to the 2020 census count for the State of Texas and all counties in Texas. Both the state and the county projections are available in two migration scenarios.

Due to the delay in the release of the 2020 Decennial Census detailed demographic data and the changes implemented in the 2020 Decennial Census, such as the new measures to provide privacy protection as well as the changes in the race/ethnic questions and the processing, projections with demographic details, especially at the county level, are not available now. Further research is needed to produce reasonable, detailed projections by race/ethnicity. Contact TDC for questions.

Projections Methodology
Please carefully review the entire methodology summary prior to using the data.

State Projection 1.0 Migration Scenario

Assume the migration rates between 2010-2020. Recommended for near-term planning purposes.

Population by age and sex for 2020-2060 in 1-year increments for State of Texas.

Format: CSV    Size: ~337 KB
State Projection 0.5 Migration Scenario

Assume the migration rates half of those between 2010-2020. Recommended for long-term planning purposes.

Population by age and sex for 2020-2060 in 1-year increments for State of Texas.

Format: CSV    Size: ~336 KB
County Projection 1.0 Migration Scenario

Assume the migration rates between 2010-2020. Recommended for near-term planning purposes.

Total Population for 2020-2060 in 1-year increments for all counties in Texas.

Format: CSV    Size: ~334 KB
County Projection 0.5 Migration Scenario

Assume the migration rates half of those between 2010-2020. Recommended for long-term planning purposes and for areas or counties with extraordinary population changes in the last decade.

Total Population for 2020-2060 in 1-year increments for all counties in Texas.

Format: CSV    Size: ~332 KB

2018 Sex and Race/Ethnicity Total Population

Following the release of our 2018 population projections, we observed anomalies in the projections of the non-Hispanic Asian and non-Hispanic Other populations in a few counties. We have revised our projections to address this issue. The new updates do not affect the non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, or the Hispanic populations and have a minimal impact on the state total population.

If you downloaded our population projections prior to *July 18, 2019*, please make sure to re-download the data and use our updated projections. We apologize for any inconvenience. Please contact us with any questions. Thank you!

Projections Methodology
Please carefully review the entire methodology summary prior to using the data.

See Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Methodology
Download File

Population for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments for State of Texas and Counties

Format: CSV    Size: ~389 KB


2018 Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity Population

Following the release of our 2018 population projections, we observed anomalies in the projections of the non-Hispanic Asian and non-Hispanic Other populations in a few counties. We have revised our projections to address this issue. The new updates do not affect the non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, or the Hispanic populations and have a minimal impact on the state total population.

If you downloaded our population projections prior to *July 18, 2019*, please make sure to re-download the data and use our updated projections. We apologize for any inconvenience. Please contact us with any questions. Thank you!

Projections Methodology
Please carefully review the entire methodology summary prior to using the data.

Data Tool

Online tool provides access to searchable projections information for viewing and downloading

Age Group for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments download files

State of Texas
(State Level Only)

Format: CSV    Size: ~18 KB

State of Texas
(State and County Level)

Format: CSV    Size: ~2.1 MB

Individual Counties

Single Years of Age for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments increments download files

State of Texas
(State Level Only)

Format: CSV    Size: ~218 KB

State of Texas
(State and County Level)

Format: CSV    Size: ~18.3 MB

Individual Counties



Household Projections

Projections Methodology
Please carefully review the entire methodology summary prior to using the data.

Publication
Please carefully review the entire methodology summary prior to using the data.

File Download

State and county projections of the number of total households, owner households and renter households for 2010 to 2050 in one-year increment.



Labor Force Projections

Projections Methodology
Please carefully review the entire methodology summary prior to using the data.

Publication

Who Makes up the Texas’ Civilian Labor Force: Past, Present and Projected.

File Download

State projections of the total labor force and the labor force by race, sex and age for 2010 to 2050 in one-year increment.

File Download

State and county projections of the total labor force and the labor force by race and sex for 2010 to 2050 in one-year increment.